BronxBomber Tribune

| Adam Dunn   44 | LF

Current Status: Active

Full Name: Adam Troy Dunn Born: 11/09/1979 Birthplace: Houston, TX Height: 6'6"   Weight: 275 Bats: Left Throws: Right College: Texas MLB Debut: 07/20/2001 .245 11 29 1

Get Adam Dunn gear at the Reds shop >   Photo Gallery   G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG AVG 2008 45 143 24 35 5 0 11 29 73 34 38 1 0 .387 .510 .245 Career 1018 3497 644 868 183 8 249 601 1814 709 1130 58 18 .381 .519 .248

이 글은 이번에 제가 이글을 쓰는데 많은 도움을 주신 몇몇 외국 분들께 감사의 표시를 하고자 없는 영어실력에 따로 영어로 써놓은 글입니다. 한글을 이해할 능력이 있으신 분들은 http://bronxbomber.tistory.com/51 의 글을 읽으시기 바랍니다.

Today, I'm going to focus on Adam Dunn, the OF in Reds. He is the symbol of "Power Hitter", isn't he? He hit 40 homeruns for 4 consecutive years, and has extremely good plate discipline. Recently, the newbie named R.Howard gets rid of Dunn's strike records and earns a honor as "another power hitter", but still Adam Dunn is the first symbol of "Power hitter".


Look at the current season record above. He follows the exact stat of his careeer. But the good part is the decrease in number of his strikeouts.(In his whole major career, he recorded 1.5+ K/BB ratio. But this season, his K/BB ratio hits near 1)

So let's get into Adam Dunn 2008.


Zone Selection

I used the sz_top/sz_bottom variables to calculate Dunn's strikezone height, and used the range of "-10 inch to 10inch" in wide.
In order to divide strike zone into 9 sections, I divided width and height by 3.
In this article, I'll use range of 21.36inch to 43.10inch for the Dunn's strikezone height.


BABIP

I used some of BABIP concept to analyze Dunn's Zone discipline. If you have no idea of BABIP, go to the link and read it. The original concept of BABIP, HR cannot be included, but in this article, I included HR for ease. (This article is just beta version of my batter analysis, and I have not much idea on sabermetric words.)
For the sake of getting IN PLAY situation data, I used type "X" datas.


Swing tendency of Dunn

Which course(of course, in the zone) did Dunn most like? Yes, every major batters like center, but I thought batters have at least 1 more 'favored' course. So I did this. Picture below is the swing rate of Adam Dunn in each sections.
Maybe you are thinking of outside of the zone. However Dunn pulled his bat on chance of 3.13% for the balls located outside of strikezone.
(Swingrate includes all X situations and Swinging strike. And they were divided by total balls located on specific section.)

As you see above, Dunn pulled his bat more on out-course than these of in-course balls. I thought power hitters would like in-course balls, but Dunn was not. Dunn has pulled his bat mercilessly on  out-course balls.


Flyouts and Groundouts?

Pictures below are the FO/GO portion of each sections.

I didn't get any particular thing on FO datas. Let's see GO data.

As I wrote above, pitchers would have nearly 50% chance to get groundballs if he throw out-course balls for Adam Dunn. But it can destroy the pitcher on the other hand. Let me explain why this is stupid.


Half Ground Half extrabasehits

I calculated BABIP*(I added * for the modified. Because BABIP in this article does not mean that of Hardballtime says.) and SLGIP(just think this as slugging percentage. Values are exactly same)


As you see, Dunn produced 50% of in plays as hits on the section of middle-outside. So, if pitchers cannot make groundball-inplay situations by middle-outside on Dunn, that has to be at least single.(more likely to be extra base hit.)
And Dunn made the highest slgip value on the center of the strikezone. because he made 5 of his 11 HRs on this section.


Finalle

Although Dunn has low batting avg, he doesn't even pull his trigger on the outside of the zone. If Dunn had more contact abilty, he could re-write all the batting records existing now. I hope you enjoyed my article. If you have any further question, e-mail me.(landor82 at gmail.com)

Thanks to Jonathan Hale, Harry Pavlidis, and Josh Kalk.

This is the beta version of my Hot/cold zone analysis.